High Returns from Low Risk PDF

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Författare: Pim van Vliet.
»Eine höhere Rendite geht immer mit einem höheren Risiko einher!« Für Generationen von Anlegern gilt das als einer der Glaubenssätze des Investierens. Aber hält dieses Dogma auch einer tief gehenden Überprüfung stand?

Pim van Vliet und Jan de Koning beweisen in »High Returns from Low Risk« das Gegenteil. Die beiden Investment-Spezialisten haben akribisch historische Marktdaten ab 1929 analysiert, anhand derer sie belegen können: Die Anlage in risikoarme Aktien bringt nicht nur überraschend hohe, sondern sogar signifikant höhere Renditen als die Investition in hochriskante Papiere.

Aus den Ergebnissen ihrer Datenanalyse leiten van Vliet und de Koning Kriterien ab, die Ihnen ermöglichen, die richtige Struktur für ihr risikoarmes Depot zu finden. So erklären sie im Detail, auf welche Hinweise bei der Auswahl von Aktien, ETFs und Aktienfonds zu achten ist.

The more return sought, the more risk that must be undertaken. There are various classes of possible investments, each with their own positions on the overall risk-return spectrum. There is considerable overlap of the ranges for each investment class. This line starts at the risk-free rate and rises as risk rises. For any particular investment type, the line drawn from the risk-free rate on the vertical axis to the risk-return point for that investment has a slope called the Sharpe ratio.

The lowest of all is the risk-free rate of return. The next types of investment is longer-term loans to government, such as 3-year bonds. The range width is larger, and follows the influence of increasing risk premium required as the maturity of that debt grows longer. Nevertheless, because it is debt of good government the highest end of the range is still comparatively low compared to the ranges of other investment types discussed below. Following the lowest-risk investments are short-dated bills of exchange from major blue-chip corporations with the highest credit ratings.

The further away from perfect the credit rating, the higher up the risk-return spectrum that particular investment will be. Overlapping the range for short-term debt is the longer term debt from those same well-rated corporations. These are higher up the range because the maturity has increased. The overlap occurs of the mid-term debt of the best rated corporations with the short-term debt of the nearly perfectly, but not perfectly rated corporations. In this arena, the debts are called investment grade by the rating agencies. The lower the credit rating, the higher the yield and thus the expected return.